QIPCO 1000 Guineas: Tom Bull’s Rider-by-Rider Guide

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Racing TV’s Tom Bull gives his verdict on the 14 contenders for Sunday’s QIPCO 1000 Guineas and predicts a 1-2-3 for the Newmarket Day 3 climax, live on Racing TV.

By Tom Bull

The defection of ante-post favorite Inspiral was disappointing, but so we have a more competitive 1000 Guineas on our hands.

Aidan O’Brien, as usual, has a mighty battalion to wage war with and the two Tenebrism and Tuesday brag about good luck.

The former must prove her stamina and the latter must prove she has the rhythm, but the duo are sure to be dangerous in the outcome.

A strong French challenge adds international spice to the occasion, with both Malavath and Zellie bringing solid Group 1 form to the party, while Charlie Appleby Wild beauty is not a bib after a victory in the Fred Darling.

Here is my runner-by-runner guide.


TENEBRISM

Wow! Tenebrism shows remarkable speed turn to win Cheveley Park

The 1,000 Guineas favorite is a filly whose name means darkened – but so far she has lit up the racing world in her short career to date. Undefeated in two starts, she produced an electric effort to take down Flotus at Cheveley Park last season, curling onto the near rail with prodigious pace. Aidan O’Brien has made no secret of the esteem in which she is held and so far has looked a superstar in waiting – after all, how many fillies can win a Cheveley Park on their second start? The big unknown is whether she will stay the two additional stages, because on the pedigree, it’s very tactile. We know she handles the trail, and while she also handles the trail ride, she sets a strict standard.


DISCOVERIES

    Découvertes beats Tuesday in first company at the Curragh last June.  The two now line up in Sunday's Classic (Picture: Focusonracing)
Découvertes beats Tuesday in first company at the Curragh last June. The two now line up in Sunday’s Classic (Picture: Focusonracing)

As a full sister to star mare Alpha Centauri, Jessica Harrington’s filly has a pedigree to die for – and so far she’s looked pretty smart. Out of place in a maiden from the Curragh (where she edged the opposition on Tuesday) she built on that with a third in the Debutante before clinching the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes at the end of last year . Her racing style and breeding suggest the extra furlong should be ideal and the way she travels and finds the pressure would indicate the Rowley Mile should be no problem either. The conditions will also be perfect (the ground was too soft in the Beginner) and she brings a proven level of fitness to the table – with experience to boot.


TUESDAY

Aidan O’Brien sends straight from first company at classic level on Tuesday – and suggests a stronger test at a mile or 10 furlongs may work best in time

One of Ballydoyle’s big hype horses over the winter, Tuesday has the world at its hooves. Narrowly beaten by Discoveries on her debut as a two-year-old, she started her campaign this season with a pro win in a Naas maiden on that trip. Although she’s only had two starts, she looks like a consummate professional and it would be a surprise if Newmarket’s fall threw her off balance. She’s the inverse of her stablemate Tenebrism in that her question mark is whether she’ll have enough speed for it – after all, she’s currently running the Oaks market. There’s no doubting his abilities and potential, but could it be happening a little too soon?


MALAVATH

    Malavath arrives in Newmarket after winning the Prix Impudence at Deauville (Photo: Focusonracing)
Malavath arrives in Newmarket after winning the Prix Impudence at Deauville (Photo: Focusonracing)

The number one French challenger raced a blinder to finish second in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf last November and resumed the season in style to clinch the Prix Imprudence, with Zellie back in second place. She has proven in America that she doesn’t need soft ground and has also shown that she can travel, two assets that will serve her well in Newmarket. It will be her toughest challenge to date, but she won’t be daunted by the task and this Group 3 win will certainly see her through to it. A very interesting challenger with Christophe Soumillon booked to ride.


WILD BEAUTY

Coming back a mile will suit Wild Beauty, says William Buick after Fred Darling win at Newbury

Frankel’s daughter has graced the turf more than most of her rivals and thus brings an experience advantage to the table. Winner of the Natalma at Woodbine in September, she ended her campaign with a slightly disappointing fifth place behind Inspiral in the Fillies’ Mile. However, she could have felt the labors of quite an arduous campaign at the time and duly returned with a bang to land the Fred Darling earlier this month. Saw a smart second filly that day and the one mile return shouldn’t be a problem. Has a twist to be found on the naked form but must be respected given that she is Charlie Appleby’s chosen candidate.


ZELLY

    Andre Fabre has a remarkable Rowley Mile record (Picture: Focusonracing)
Andre Fabre has a remarkable Rowley Mile record (Picture: Focusonracing)

Gaulish maestro André Fabre is sending Zellie to Newmarket as the sole representative this year and she is well deserving of her place in the roster. Easy winner of the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac in October, it reinforced its claims in Classic with a good second behind Malavath in the Prix Imprudence. It’s likely she’ll come for it and those faster conditions shouldn’t be a problem as she has scored on good ground in the past. Rest the trip well and have a nice jockey reservation at Tom Marquand.


STAGING

    Mise En Scene will be trainer James Ferguson's first classic racer (Picture: Focusonracing)
Mise En Scene will be trainer James Ferguson’s first classic racer (Picture: Focusonracing)

The flag bearer for trainer James Ferguson won the Prestige on his second start and was definitely looking like a soaring filly. Two starts over a mile since haven’t brought the expected improvement, but she didn’t run badly when a place ahead of Wild Beauty in the Fillies’ Mile considering she didn’t seem to be handling the track so well. It’s a concern now to tackle Rowley again, but she’s been wiser for a year and will hopefully have learned from that first attempt. When all is said and done, however, she has quite a bit to find on what she’s brought to the table so far.


STAMP

    George Cachet struck on his reappearance this term in the Group 3 test at Newmarket (Picture: Focusonracing)
George Cachet struck on his reappearance this term in the Group 3 test at Newmarket (Picture: Focusonracing)

Ran a blinder in the Juvenile Fillies’ Turf at the Breeders’ Cup, just stopped late and reappeared this year with victory in the Nell Gwyn. In truth, she was never really troubled that day, but it wasn’t the toughest of trials and on her two-year-old Group 1 form, she’s going to have to improve a bit to be a contender. to victory here.


CONJUNCTURE

    Juncture offers to be another Guineas winner for Colin Keane, Ger Lyons and Juddmonte (Picture: Focusonracing)
Juncture offers to be another Guineas winner for Colin Keane, Ger Lyons and Juddmonte (Picture: Focusonracing)

Fascinating underdog for Ger Lyons as it has improved significantly for the winter break judged on its domination of the Listed Patton Stakes at Dundalk. She takes on a totally different fish on Sunday, but there’s no getting away from the visual impression she made that day, especially since she looked like a stronger, more extended filly. than the last campaign.


PROSPEROUS JOURNEY

Prosperous Voyage was only beaten by Inspiral in the Fillies’ Mile, a form well heralded since

Holds a few on his second in the Fillies’ Mile, an excellent performance in itself. She also finished second to Inspiral at Doncaster and now has plenty of form to suggest she could be there or thereabouts. Doesn’t have the flashiest profile considering she hasn’t won as much as some, but there’s substance to her form and she looks like a big prize.


SANDRIN

Won the Duchess of Cambridge on the July course before finishing second in the Lowther, but nothing she has done so far suggests this ride on the trip will be what she wants. If she stays, she probably still needs to release something more.


AMEYNAH

The only filly besides the Ballydoyle duo to only have had both starts, and her second was very impressive on the Rowley Mile – for all that it was in the girl’s company. She could be anything but on pure form assessment she is an underdog given that she has yet to succeed with the best fillies in the company of the group.


HI YOU

Landed the Rockfel in Cachet style last September, but the positions were reversed on the return in the Nell Gwyn and on that evidence David Loughnane’s filly has a mountain to climb.


FLASH BETTY

Finished 7l behind Cachet in the Nell Gwyn and this 96 ranked filly would be a surprise winner.


BIG RACE VERDICT:

Both Tenebrism and Tuesday have strong claims, but neither is bombproof and while Discoveries are clearly talented, a 2-4 record isn’t particularly proud in a run of this nature.

Malavath is sure to be fine for the French but whoever to be with could be Conjuncture. The Ger Lyons filly seemed to have strengthened enormously at Dundalk and this impressive performance came after a 225-day break, so there is every reason to think she can return. She’s a completely different filly now that she’s had a winter on her back and she might give even the flashiest fillies something to think about.

  1. Junction 2. Malavath 3. Tuesday

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