UFC San Diego Odds: Latest Betting Lines & Play Guide | Vera vs. Cruz

0

One of the most decorated characters in the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) looks to prove he still belongs with the elite this Saturday (August 13, 2022) when Dominick Cruz takes on ultra-destructive Marlon Vera at the interior of the Pechanga Arena in San Diego, California. UFC San Diego also features a guaranteed featherweight war between David Onama and Nate Landwehr, as well as a clash of top strawweight prospects in Yazmin Jauregui and Iasmin Lucindo.

There’s another UFC pay-per-view (PPV) just around the corner, and that means it’s time to dig deep for the bargains. Grab your shovel and let’s go…

What was wrong with UFC Vegas 59?

Geoff Neal’s fight? It’s on me. I didn’t even think about how Neal’s problems came against opponents he needed to hunt and Luque bringing him down would be in his favor. Man, the Mohammed Usman thing stings, though. Zac Pauga was doing exactly what he was supposed to do and then managed to get flattened in one shot. Two more bets were hit, which would normally have given us a head start, but Josh Quinlan’s exit reduced Jamahal Hill’s win payout. It wasn’t the biggest loss, especially compared to some of the fucking disasters this year, but it’s still frustrating.

UFC San Diego odds for the undercard:

Lupita Godinez (-295) against Angela Hill (+245)
Martin Buday (-260) against Lukasz Brzeski (+220)
Cynthia Calvillo (-170) against Nina Nunes (+145)
Gabriel Benitez (-360) against Charlie Ontiveros (+295)
Ode Osbourne (-245) vs. Tyson Nam (+205)
Youssef Zalal (-125) vs. Da’Mon Blackshear (+105)
Josh Quinlan (-245) vs. Jason Witt (+205)

Thoughts: Nothing immediately jumps off the page, but it’s still doable. Lupita Godinez, Martin Buday, Ode Osbourne, Youssef Zalal and Josh Quinlan all sound somewhat interesting.

Even though Angela Hill has been on the wrong end of some horrific judging lately, her consistent issues with the takedown defense are a death sentence against Godinez’ top-notch wrestling. Six of “Overkill’s” last seven opponents have taken her down at least once, and Virna Jandiroba completely incapacitated her last time.

Ultimately, expect the same from “Loopy.”

What Martin Buday does isn’t always pretty, but he’s damn good at it. Lukasz Brzeski is going to give ‘Badys’ plenty of opportunities to tie up, and while ‘The Bull’ is decent in the clinch, Buday thinks he’ll prevail by at least 30 pounds on fight night.

In short, a score for Slovakia.

Tyson Nam is one of the most Boolean fighters in the organization. Indeed, either he scores a KO, or his refusal to launch a significant volume makes him lose a decision. The latter is much more likely against Osbourne, who has nearly half a foot of reach on Nam and knows how to use it. That’s not to say Nam can’t knock him out, just that Osbourne has the tools to avoid the killing blow and outmanoeuvre him.

There are certainly areas of concern with Youssef Zalal. He failed to impress for a while, just completed a lengthy layoff and made his first cut at 135 pounds. That said, I’m just not impressed with Da’Mon Blackshear, who looked more or less helpless against other determined takedown artists like Pat Sabatini and Danny Sabatello. As long as Zalal still has the gas tank to fire a dozen times in three rounds, he has what it takes to take out Blackshear.

My reasoning for betting on Quinlan is the same as last week: he hits like a truck and Jason Witt could get knocked out with harsh language. Also, Quinlan has solid cardio and is doing well, so even if Witt manages to knock him down a few times, he’ll still have a chance to turn off the lights.

UFC San Diego odds for the main card:

Marlon Vera (-225) against Dominick Cruz (+190)
David Onama (-275) vs. Nate Landwehr (+230)
Yazmin Jauregui (-210) against Iasmin Lucindo (+180)
Azamat Murzakanov (-150) against Devin Clark (+130)
Ariane Lipski (-190) against Priscila Cachoeira (+160)
Bruno Silva (-285) against Gerald Meerschaert (+240)

Thoughts: I am thinking of David Onama, Yazmin Jauregui, Ariane Lipski and Bruno Silva.

I won’t deny that Nate Landwehr has made me look stupid in the past and I won’t deny that David Onama’s takedown defense leaves a lot to be desired. I just can’t see the guy with evil power losing to the guy who managed to eat over 100 major strikes from Darren Elkins of all people. Landwehr is tough, but his chin has already dropped twice in the Octagon.

There’s a good chance it will happen again.

Iasmin Lucindo’s wrestling and Brazilian jiu-jitsu give him a real chance in his fight with Jauregui. Unfortunately for her, she’s also quite easy to hit, and Jauregui is a truly devastating kickboxer. Between the short notice and dealing with Jauregui’s range, it’s easier to see her pulverize Lucindo from a distance than Lucindo getting the body locks she loves and grinding Jauregui.

Even with the lack of weight and the fear of health, I cannot refuse Ariane Lipski against Priscila Cachoeira. “Queen of Violence” is a vicious combination attacker who takes on a woman who got hit 170 times in her last fight, and she’s a good enough offensive wrestler to take down Cachoeira if things ever get hairy.

I was initially torn between Bruno Silva and Gerald Meerschaert. “Blindado” is admittedly a very mediocre defensive wrestler, making him a prime target for one of Meerschaert’s trademark comeback submissions. At the same time, Silva punches more than hard enough to crack Meerschaert’s chin and carries his power late. With how shaky “GM3” has seemed lately, I’m ready to cast my spell with Silva.

Best UFC San Diego Bets:

  • Parlay – Ode Osbourne and Bruno Silva: bet $111 to win $100
  • Parlay – Youssef Zalal and David Onama: bet $80 to win $116
  • Parlay – Lupita Godinez and Yazmin Jauregui: Bet $102 to win $100
  • Parlay – Martin Buday and Josh Quinlan: Bet $105 to Win $100
  • Parlay – Lupita Godinez and Ariane Lipski: bet $120 to win $124.80

Initial investment for 2022: $600
Current total: $664.32


remember that MMAmania.com will provide live, round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC San Diego fight card on the right herestarting with ESPN/ESPN+ “Preliminaries” matches, which are due to start at 4 p.m. ET, then the remaining main card balance on ESPN /ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.

For all the latest and greatest UFC San Diego: ‘Vera vs. Cruz’ news and notes, be sure to check out our comprehensive event archive. here.

Share.

Comments are closed.